Dear Chris,
I noticed your new intro
paragraph and just wanted to provide feedback. I think your efforts to
create power ratings are fantastic and the ratings provide an unbiased indicator
of pairs performance over the last 24 months. I was a serious chess
player in my youth and relied on ratings to monitor my progress. Chess
ratings were extremely accurate once a player no longer had a provisional ratings.
I took up bridge four
years ago and am working hard at the game. I found your power ratings
website about 2 years ago and love it. I've been able to track my
performance and get good feedback on progress and a sense for my relative
performance. I visit your site all the time looking for updates, checking
the strength of opponents I will be playing in a knockout... I even found
an old friend from chess with a very high power rating
and hired him as a playing coach -- he has been great and our results have been
great even though he isn't a "big name". Why?,
because power ratings work. There is no bias and
good results don't come from luck.
I have had many
discussions about the ratings with friends who played tournament chess for
years and ignore or bad mouth power ratings. I think the bottom line is
they probably ignore or bad mouth the mirrors in
their house as well. They just can't accept that they aren't better than
the people with higher ratings. Study after study has shown that it is
human nature to see ones own
ability in a biased way -- everyone thinks they are stronger than they are and
has a biased view of the ability relative to their peers. Unfortunately,
most people don't see the truth and use it to work harder and grow.
It seems like the main
argument against power ratings is anecdotal. How can you say these work
when "Jimmy" has a power rating of 63% -- they try to disprove the
whole thing based on one outlier, and frequently, that outlier is an outlier
and "Jimmy's" rating drops down with time.
I counter argue that, how can you ignore 2 years of empirical fact, don't
you want feedback on growth... But, most don't listen.
I'm sure you have
thought all of this, heard all of this, and argued all of this. You are
providing a really valuable service and many do not appreciate it.
I wanted to tell you
that I really appreciate your ratings, use them frequently and am a big fan.
There are others like me who feel the same way. This is an uphill
battle, but don't stop.
With appreciation,
Phil Goulding
Wexford, Pennsylvania